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days of fuel left

0 daysDOE min: 1565 days

The Philippines Has 45 Days of Fuel Left

98% import-dependent. One refinery. No strategic reserve. Here's what must happen before supply runs out.

Published March 30, 2026 · Prepared by Pipedream

Diesel₱130+/LSupply45 days·Sen. Aquino files SB 2011 to classify gasoline and diesel as b…Inquirer··Dubai crude hits $112/bbl as Hormuz transit delays persistReuters··DOE orders 15-day fuel inventory reporting for all downstream …DOE Philippines··Senate hearing: Senators push for emergency fuel subsidy for t…PhilStar··Petron, Shell announce ₱2.50/L gasoline price hike effective T…Inquirer··DBCC convenes emergency session on fuel excise tax suspensionDOF Philippines·Diesel₱130+/LSupply45 days·Sen. Aquino files SB 2011 to classify gasoline and diesel as b…Inquirer··Dubai crude hits $112/bbl as Hormuz transit delays persistReuters··DOE orders 15-day fuel inventory reporting for all downstream …DOE Philippines··Senate hearing: Senators push for emergency fuel subsidy for t…PhilStar··Petron, Shell announce ₱2.50/L gasoline price hike effective T…Inquirer··DBCC convenes emergency session on fuel excise tax suspensionDOF Philippines·
Data as ofLoading…

Data Freshness

This brief revolves with current events but is rooted in fundamentals. Here's how often each type of data refreshes.

LiveEvery 5–10 min

Market data and news polled continuously from public APIs. Refreshes while you read.

Brent crude · USD/PHP rate · Live news feed

DailyEvery 24h · 06:00 PHT

Factual snapshots refreshed once per day via scheduled scrape + agent synthesis.

PH pump price · ASEAN price comparison · Station status snapshot · Days of supply (computed) · Today's narrative (AI)

WeeklyEvery Monday · 06:00 PHT

Institutional reports and legislative statuses refreshed weekly.

DOE LFO station report · Legislative tracker statuses

PublishedVersioned manually

Fundamentals — analytical frameworks that don't change with today's news. Versioned via commits.

Policy pillars · Distribution channels · Economic scenarios · Anti-recommendations · Senate findings · References

This brief moves from Problem (crisis, impact, scenarios) to Solution (channels, pillars, legislation) to Execution (timeline, infrastructure, tracker).

TL;DR

  • 1.

    The Philippines has ~45 days of fuel supply remaining, with no confirmed resupply beyond May 2026.

  • 2.

    Inaction risks stagflation: ₱130+/L diesel is already driving 4.2% transport-cost inflation.

  • 3.

    Recommended response: PriceLOCQ digital subsidy + Strategic Petroleum Reserve + G2G supply contracts.

  • 4.

    Read the brief. Share it with your legislator.

Crisis Overview

Philippine fuel supply emergency — June 27, 2026

45of 65 days
Days of Supply
Estimated days the Philippines can sustain current fuel consumption without new imports arriving.
Daily
–12from 57 days
₱130+/L
Diesel Pump Price
Diesel pump price as of April 2026. Pre-crisis baseline was ₱55/L in early 2025.
Daily
+136%from ₱55 pre-crisis
425
Stations Closed
Fuel stations that have run dry or suspended operations due to supply chain disruptions.
Daily
2.93%of 14,485 total
$115+/bbl
Crude Oil
Brent crude benchmark price. The Philippines imports ~98% of its petroleum requirements.
Daily
+59%from $72 pre-war
₱60+/$1
Peso Rate
Philippine peso to US dollar exchange rate. A weaker peso increases the landed cost of imported fuel.
Daily
Weakeningcurrency pressure

Senate Hearing Key Findings

1

Supply beyond April is unconfirmed

Chevron, PIP, IPPCAAction needed
2

Cargo premiums surged 120%+; product premiums at $40 (was <$1)

Shell, ChevronAction needed
3

Alternative supply at lower prices may exist (needs DOE verification)

Sen. MarcoletaAction needed
4

Excise tax suspension implementation too slow (earliest April 12–13)

DOFAction needed
5

PNOC secured initial supply: 150KB arrived, 300KB more in April

6

Regional refineries declaring force majeure and export bans

Shell, PetronAction needed
7

Replacement cost methodology drives current pump prices

Petron, ChevronAction needed
8

DOE issued show-cause orders for suspected profiteering

The Senate Committee on Energy concluded: the Philippines is structurally unprepared for a sustained supply disruption.

At current burn rate, the Philippines crosses the DOE minimum reserve threshold by mid-May 2026.

Source: DOE Weekly Supply Monitoring Report

Problem → Solution

The crisis is quantified. Here's what the evidence says works.

Every $10/bbl increase in crude costs the Philippine economy ₱42B in additional import spending annually.

Source: BSP Monetary Policy Report

PriceLOCQ reaches 4.2M registered users — more than any government fuel subsidy program in Philippine history.

Source: Phoenix Petroleum Investor Relations

Solution → Execution

Policy without implementation is theater. Here's the operational plan.